Elena Rybakina vs Renata Zarazua Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recently, Rybakina's second serve success rate is slightly better than Zarazua's, with 43.27% compared to 40.59%. Could this give Rybakina a slight edge in rallies starting with the second serve?
• In return games, Zarazua surpasses Rybakina, winning 53.15% of opponent's second serve points versus Rybakina's 47.79%, and 36.99% of first serve points versus 26.79% for Rybakina. Does this indicate Zarazua's stronger return game might disrupt Rybakina's serving rhythm?
• Under pressure, Rybakina outperforms Zarazua by saving 53.41% of breakpoints, showing greater resilience in critical moments compared to Zarazua's 50.45% save rate.
• Overall match wins in the past year favor Rybakina, with a 68.97% win rate, while Zarazua holds a 60.76% win rate.
• Rybakina excels on grass, boasting a 73% win rate, whereas grass is Zarazua's weakest surface at 45%. Could this difference highlight a surface advantage for Rybakina?
• Activity level shows Rybakina competing mostly in Masters series events, with a 58.33% win rate, while Zarazua dominates Challenger and ITF events at 76.32%. Does Rybakina's experience in higher-level events provide a competitive advantage?
• In terms of opponent quality, Rybakina faces tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 66.76, highlighting the higher level of challenge she regularly encounters compared to Zarazua's 214.75.
• If the match heads into a deciding set, Zarazua has a slight advantage having won 46% compared to Rybakina's 44% in deciding sets over the past year.
• When it comes to breakpoint conversion, Zarazua leads with 42.37% success, potentially making her more effective when opportunities to break serve arise.

Editorial Prediction (August 9, 2025, UTC):

Both players exhibit distinct strengths and weaknesses that could influence the outcome of the match. Rybakina's slight edge in second serve performance and superior match experience, especially in higher-level tournaments, indicate her resilience when competing against tougher opponents.

Conversely, Zarazua showcases proficiency in return games and breakpoint conversion, suggesting that she can capitalize on scoring opportunities more efficiently. Her slight lead in winning deciding sets also adds intrigue to the match scenario.

Ultimately, considering the overall higher-level experience and resilience under pressure, Rybakina is predicted to have a slight advantage and is likely to emerge as the winner in this matchup. However, Zarazua's strong return game and ability to break serve remain factors that could challenge Rybakina throughout the match.